This is a topic that comes up often, so I figured I would weigh in here with my feelings about it.
 
The topic should be as simple as "play whichever you like," but that's unfortunately not usually the case.  There are positives and negatives to both.
 
Here's my take on it.

If you want to end up playing unlined fretless in the future, get an unlined now.
If you want to end up playing lined fretless in the future, get a lined one now.
Either way will help avoid any transitional issues that may occur when switching, and either will get you accustomed to the instrument you will end up on earlier on.  One issue you hear constantly repeated from people is the problem with transitioning to an instrument different than the one you are used to- switching from a 4-string bass to a 5-string, from fretted to fretless, etc. You're going to be more familiar and comfortable with an instrument the earlier you begin with it, so if you KNOW what you want to play in the end, it's better to get accustomed to it early on. If someone wanted to play guitar, I wouldn't start them on a shaved-down neck with four strings and then make them transition to a normal-sized six-string once they were comfortable playing on the small neck.

If you don't care if you end up playing lined or unlined, you may want to err on the side of caution and get a lined one. Lines can aid you when you can't hear yourself well, and if you know how to coordinate yourself, lines can help you learn good intonation quicker than listening alone, as you'll be able to both listen AND look. Unlined basses have side dots as well, so it's not as though they are without visual cues. Lined basses just have a bit more accuracy to those visual cues, particularly when playing on the higher strings where you likely won't be looking at the side dots. Some people get a bit confused with lined fretlesses- the lines distract them. If you're one of those, get an unlined.

Do not listen to any diatribe that using an unlined fretless will make you use your ears more. It's a false belief. The degree to which you learn to use your ears to determine intonation has NOTHING to do with the bass you are playing. You can use your ears just as much on a unlined bass with no side dots as you can on a bass with neon green lines that light up when you touch them. It's all up to you in how much you use them. If you find yourself looking too much, then the issue is you, not the bass.  A bass is inanimate- it can't make you listen less or more.  It is entirely the result of how much study the player puts into it. That being said, if you find yourself looking too much at the lines, you may have an easier time with an unlined fretless.  Also, remember that it will be your fingers that make you play in tune. Not your ears. Not your eyes.  The notion that you play fretless "with your ears" is a bit of a fallacy as they will only let you know if you hit the note right AFTER you've already played it.  Your fingers are what will get you to play in tune.  With a lined board, you could technically play in tune just by looking at your hands without using your ears at all if your bass is tuned and intonated properly.  This isn't an ideal goal though.  What you can take from that though is that using your ears in conjunction with your eyes can help you develop proper finger placement faster.  The goal is to get your fingers in the right place the first time. Using just your ears or just your eyes to play a note to then determine if you are in tune or not will just make you have to slide into the proper note each time. And if you didn't hit it right the first time, you didn't hit it at all.

 There are some players that prefer to first pluck the note and then roll into the proper intonation spot with vibrato rather than trying to hit as close as possible to the right spot the first time and then introduce the vibrato.  This is perfectly fine if you want- it will give that more wobbly tone that some fretless players have- but when speaking purely of accuracy, it will be better to get your fingers in the right spot first.

A couple positive notes about unlined fretlesses: they are almost always MUCH cooler to look at. It may seem trite, but sometimes a beautiful bass will inspire you to play it more. It's the reason my first fretless was unlined.  With an unlined board, you don't have to worry about the stability of the wood/plastic lines.  Probably the only "true" setback about a lined that I forgot about. Different woods move in different rates with humidity/seasonal changes, so maple fretlines may pop out or recede in from an ebony fretboard. I've had some fretlesses where this was an issue that required a very light planing once or twice a year, and other fretlesses where it never happened (I've had my current fretless 6 for about 9 months now and it hasn't occurred yet).  One other benefit is that nearly all unlined basses have their side dots located right at the point of intonation- in other words, the side dots are located directly below where the fret or fretline would be.  Most lined fretless basses are built in the same way a fretted bass is built, so side dots are usually placed in-between the points of intonation as they are on a fretted.  This is obviously going to be of no use to a player when he looks down on them.  I had my basses made with the side dots place directly under the lines, but be aware that most basses won't come that way, and it may be something you want to ask for if having a bass custom-made for yourself.

Any comments that lines on a fretless are akin to training wheel or crutches are simply ridiculous.  When Jaco was just about the only fretless player around, how often do you think people approached him and said, "you're great and all, but those lines are crutches"?  Not at all, I'd imagine.  The goal is to make good music.  You don't get extra points for playing a more difficult instrument, and it won't sound any better to the listener.  Choose whichever instrument you can make the best music with. 

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